Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.594400 0.700236 0.817771 0.957740 1.119637 1.300760 1.518492
2024-12-15 0.522603 0.678801 0.868049 1.113195 1.421224 1.794230 2.278827
2024-12-22 0.421857 0.600487 0.835177 1.163623 1.608518 2.186875 2.991775
2024-12-29 0.358368 0.555673 0.835113 1.254913 1.863597 2.706804 3.954163
2025-01-05 0.302656 0.509263 0.823484 1.328014 2.107278 3.251736 5.041565
2025-01-12 0.248400 0.452559 0.785166 1.354296 2.287511 3.735213 6.119454
2025-01-19 0.205495 0.404101 0.749593 1.377385 2.466023 4.242797 7.311619
2025-01-26 0.178658 0.377263 0.744388 1.449330 2.735590 4.933344 8.894708
2025-02-02 0.167539 0.377242 0.786556 1.611993 3.187231 5.988855 11.229547
2025-02-09 0.146868 0.353057 0.778307 1.679194 3.477116 6.804385 13.260075
2025-02-16 0.122496 0.314776 0.734092 1.667506 3.615395 7.364916 14.906695
2025-02-23 0.099786 0.274191 0.676304 1.616427 3.666354 7.766947 16.308592
2025-03-02 0.081015 0.238572 0.623206 1.568536 3.723350 8.203445 17.867591
2025-03-09 0.073108 0.228708 0.627866 1.652028 4.076834 9.286485 20.861620
2025-03-16 0.060158 0.201244 0.583478 1.611484 4.147844 9.793824 22.743608
2025-03-23 0.052935 0.188124 0.572752 1.651463 4.411774 10.750855 25.700641
2025-03-30 0.046488 0.175389 0.560190 1.684434 4.664843 11.718414 28.804035
2025-04-06 0.039580 0.158881 0.533102 1.673179 4.806319 12.450618 31.473049
2025-04-13 0.034000 0.145012 0.510397 1.669474 4.966781 13.248956 34.393871
2025-04-20 0.030855 0.138960 0.510381 1.731606 5.313163 14.541872 38.637532
2025-04-27 0.030427 0.143296 0.544914 1.904448 5.991057 16.739835 45.314055
2025-05-04 0.027705 0.137473 0.544315 1.968754 6.373747 18.236640 50.429148
2025-05-11 0.023772 0.125050 0.517807 1.945092 6.498707 19.082586 54.007598